Rice
W-L: (31-26) PR = 94.3315Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 7- 6 213 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 3- 2 215 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 6-17 217 A Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 0- 3 218 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 5- 6 220 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 0- 9 221 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 1- 4 222 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 2- 4 224 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 8-11 227 H Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 11- 7 228 H Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 2- 1 301 H Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 9- 0 304 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 4- 4 306 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 5-10 307 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 8- 6 308 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 1- 4 310 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 1-13 313 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 16- 5 313 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 6- 5 314 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 13- 2 315 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 8-11 317 H UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 7- 3 320 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 5- 4 321 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 0- 2 322 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 2- 7 325 A Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 10- 7 327 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 2- 6 328 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 5- 2 329 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 8- 1 331 H UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 6- 4 402 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 3- 2 403 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 0- 8 404 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 0-13 407 A Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 3, 81.5) 18- 1 410 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 7-13 411 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 6- 2 412 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 3- 2 415 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 5- 3 417 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 1- 4 419 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 5- 6 421 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 3- 4 424 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 1- 5 425 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 3- 2 426 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 3-13 428 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 6- 5 502 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 12- 2 502 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 16- 9 503 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 10- 3 508 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 10- 5 509 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 5- 3 510 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 0- 3 512 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 3-14 514 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 12- 4 515 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 10- 3 516 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 6- 5 521 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 5- 4 522 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 3- 4 522 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Northwestern 7- 6 1 2 -1.49
213 H Northwestern 3- 2 1 2 -1.49
215 H Northwestern 6-17 -11 2 --- -13.49
217 A Omaha 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.53
218 A San José State 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.27
220 H Cal Poly 0- 9 -9 0 --- -8.71
221 A USC 1- 4 -3 -4 0.84
222 A USC 2- 4 -2 -4 1.84
224 H Houston Christian 8-11 -3 2 -- -5.42
227 H Harvard 11- 7 4 4 0.05
228 H Harvard 2- 1 1 4 - -2.95
301 H Harvard 9- 0 9 4 ++ 5.05
304 H South Carolina 4- 4 0 0 -0.46
306 H Auburn 5-10 -5 -4 -1.13
307 A Abilene Christian 8- 6 2 0 1.97
308 A Abilene Christian 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.03
310 A Houston 1-13 -12 -1 --- -11.06
313 A Grand Canyon 16- 5 11 1 +++ 10.44
313 H Saint Mary's 6- 5 1 0 0.56
314 A Grand Canyon 13- 2 11 1 +++ 10.44
315 A Saint Mary's 8-11 -3 -1 - -2.09
317 H UT Rio Grande Valley 7- 3 4 0 + 3.76
320 A South Florida 5- 4 1 -1 1.92
321 H Xavier 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.41
322 A South Florida 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.08
325 A Houston Christian 10- 7 3 1 1.93
327 H Florida Atlantic 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.25
328 H Florida Atlantic 5- 2 3 1 1.75
329 H Florida Atlantic 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.75
331 H UT Rio Grande Valley 6- 4 2 0 1.76
402 H UTSA 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15
403 H UTSA 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.85
404 H UTSA 0-13 -13 -2 --- -10.85
407 A Alcorn State 18- 1 17 12 1.82
410 H App State 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.83
411 A Charlotte 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.46
412 A Charlotte 3- 2 1 0 1.46
415 H Sam Houston 5- 3 2 2 0.43
417 H Memphis 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.64
419 H Memphis 5- 6 -1 1 -1.64
421 H Houston 3- 4 -1 0 -1.41
424 A Wichita State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.08
425 A Wichita State 3- 2 1 -1 1.92
426 A Wichita State 3-13 -10 -1 --- -9.08
428 H Lamar 6- 5 1 2 -0.74
502 H UAB 12- 2 10 0 +++ 9.87
502 H UAB 16- 9 7 0 +++ 6.87
503 H UAB 10- 3 7 0 +++ 6.87
508 A East Carolina 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.08
509 A East Carolina 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.08
510 A East Carolina 0- 3 -3 -3 0.08
512 A Houston 3-14 -11 -1 --- -10.06
514 A Arizona State 12- 4 8 -4 +++ 11.99
515 A Arizona State 10- 3 7 -4 +++ 10.99
516 H Tulane 6- 5 1 1 0.40
521 H Wichita State 5- 4 1 0 0.57
522 A East Carolina 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.08
522 H UAB 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Northwestern 6-17 -11 2 --- -13.49 220 H Cal Poly 0- 9 -9 0 --- -8.71 310 A Houston 1-13 -12 -1 --- -11.06 404 H UTSA 0-13 -13 -2 --- -10.85 426 A Wichita State 3-13 -10 -1 --- -9.08 512 A Houston 3-14 -11 -1 --- -10.06 217 A Omaha 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.53 224 H Houston Christian 8-11 -3 2 -- -5.42 322 A South Florida 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.08 327 H Florida Atlantic 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.25 403 H UTSA 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.85 410 H App State 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.83 228 H Harvard 2- 1 1 4 - -2.95 308 A Abilene Christian 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.03 315 A Saint Mary's 8-11 -3 -1 - -2.09 321 H Xavier 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.41 417 H Memphis 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.64 424 A Wichita State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.08 522 H UAB 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Grand Canyon 16- 5 11 1 +++ 10.44 314 A Grand Canyon 13- 2 11 1 +++ 10.44 502 H UAB 12- 2 10 0 +++ 9.87 502 H UAB 16- 9 7 0 +++ 6.87 503 H UAB 10- 3 7 0 +++ 6.87 508 A East Carolina 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.08 514 A Arizona State 12- 4 8 -4 +++ 11.99 515 A Arizona State 10- 3 7 -4 +++ 10.99 301 H Harvard 9- 0 9 4 ++ 5.05 329 H Florida Atlantic 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.75 411 A Charlotte 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.46 509 A East Carolina 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.08 317 H UT Rio Grande Valley 7- 3 4 0 + 3.76 402 H UTSA 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15 522 A East Carolina 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 7- 6 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.50 10.34
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 3- 2 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.50 10.34
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 6-17 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.50 -2.01
3 A Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 0- 3 -7.77 10.66 0.68 0.50 -1.77
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 5- 6 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.50 -1.21
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 0- 9 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.50 -1.31
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 1- 4 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.50 -0.43
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 2- 4 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.50 -0.43
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 8-11 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.50 -1.99
3 H Harvard ( 2- 9, 91.1) 11- 7 -8.84 9.58 -0.68 0.50 8.88
3 H Harvard ( 2- 9, 91.1) 2- 1 -8.84 9.58 -0.68 0.50 8.88
3 H Harvard ( 2- 9, 91.1) 9- 0 -8.84 9.58 -0.68 0.50 8.88
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 4- 4 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.50 0.00
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 5-10 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.50 -0.42
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 8- 6 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.50 12.79
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 1- 4 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.50 -1.40
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 1-13 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.50 -1.15
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 16- 5 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.50 12.26
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 6- 5 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.50 12.39
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 13- 2 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.50 12.26
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 8-11 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 H UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 7- 3 -5.13 13.29 -0.68 0.50 12.58
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 5- 4 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.50 13.74
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 0- 2 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.50 -1.74
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 2- 7 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 A Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 10- 7 -7.31 11.12 0.68 0.50 11.76
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 2- 6 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.50 -1.70
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 5- 2 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.50 11.57
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 8- 1 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.50 11.57
3 H UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 6- 4 -5.13 13.29 -0.68 0.50 12.58
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 3- 2 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.50 14.96
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 0- 8 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.50 -0.85
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 0-13 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.50 -0.85
3 A Alcorn State ( 0- 3, 81.5) 18- 1 -18.43 1.00 0.68 0.50 1.67
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 7-13 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.50 -1.35
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 6- 2 -5.79 12.64 0.68 0.50 13.28
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 3- 2 -5.79 12.64 0.68 0.50 13.28
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 5- 3 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.50 11.26
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 1- 4 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.50 -1.55
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 5- 6 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.50 -1.55
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 3- 4 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.50 -1.49
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 1- 5 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 3- 2 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.50 13.74
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 3-13 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 6- 5 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 0.50 11.08
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 12- 2 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.50 12.69
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 16- 9 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.50 12.69
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 10- 3 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.50 12.69
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 10- 5 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 15.89
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 5- 3 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 15.89
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 0- 3 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 -0.62
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 3-14 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.50 -1.15
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 12- 4 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.50 16.80
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 10- 3 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.50 16.80
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 6- 5 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.50 12.22
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 5- 4 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.50 12.40
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 -0.62
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 6- 9 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.50 -1.42
------
346.54
|
winning pts = 378.1984 losing points = -31.6557
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------